Does Britain finally have an exit plan from the European Union?
What it means & why it matters.
Not Just Britain
We call it “Brexit” but this plan covers the whole UK exiting the EU.
- UK: Consists of Wales, England, Scotland, and Northern Ireland – not the Republic of Ireland.
- Great Britain (aka Britain) is a geographic term that refers to the UK minus Northern Ireland.
- UK gov’t is headed by Prime Minister Theresa May in London.
- 1951 – 2013: EU grows from 6 to 28 countries via numerous treaties
- 2016: Nearly 52% of the UK voted to exit the EU (most of Wales & England voted to leave; most of Northern Ireland & Scotland voted to stay) citing economic (trade) & immigration (border) concerns.
- 2017: The UK starts exit process.
- The UK is slated to leave the EU in March 2019, but, there are NO significant political or economic changes until late 2020 / 2021.
- On Wednesday, UK Prime Minister Theresa May said her cabinet approved a draft Brexit deal governing the main aspects (trade, travel, and security).
- A final deal must be approved by both the British & EU parliaments.
“We can choose to leave with no deal. We can risk no Brexit at all. Or we can choose to unite and support the best deal that can be negotiated — this deal.”
Why It Matters?
“A more unified Europe is a powerful counterbalance to people like Vladimir Putin.”
IF no deal is reached between the UK & EU in the next 5 months, deadlines to reach a deal may be extended, but only if all 28 EU member countries agree to do so. Some British officials resigned Thursday over the draft proposal, increasing doubt on the deal.
America’s Leaders on America’s Maverick
As we hear from our leaders on Sen. John McCain’s death, a look back at their words during his life.
“He loves his country. And if he has to stand up to his party for his country, so be it. He would die for this country.”
“John McCain’s life is a story of service above self…. John is an independent man who thinks for himself. He’s not afraid to tell you when he disagrees. Believe me, I know. No matter what the issue, this man is honest and speaks straight from the heart.”
“I know if I picked up the phone tonight and called John McCain and said, ‘John, I’m at 2nd and Vine in Oshkosh and I need your help. Come,’ he’d get on a plane and come. And I would for him, too.”
“In my lifetime, he’s one of the most remarkable patriots our country’s ever produced. I love the guy.”
WORTH THE READ
“I know this: As soon as my boys are of age, I’ll tell them stories about the quality of the man I’ve gotten to know. I’ll tell them: Senator John McCain will be revered and respected for as long as the United States of America has a place in this world, and his legacy will outlive us all.”
It’s The Economy, Stupid.
…Or Is It?
What the primary elections before the November midterms tell us about the state of politics in America. Or don’t.
The BIG Picture
- AP analysis: Important counties in swing states have not seen job losses; areas that backed Clinton in 2016 have better job growth than areas that voted for Pres. Trump.
- Pew Research poll raises question about whether or not jobs are the TOP priority for voters during this particular midterm election.
“Trump is a bigger factor in midterm voting preferences – positive or negative – than any president in more than three decades. “
What To Watch: Aug 7
- Ohio: Important swing state. President Trump held rally in Ohio on Saturday.
- In Focus: A special election for Congress. Polls show a traditionally Republican district with a very tight race.
- Democrats need to flip 24 seats from R to D. Will this be one for them?
A Bipartisan Challenge
“Winning control of the House and Senate means Democrats have to fight on Republican turf, and that means talking to Romney-Clinton and Obama-Trump voters. How well they can talk to both at the same time — and how well Republicans do among the same groups — will determine whether we see a blue wave or another case of Democratic despair.” (NYT)
AP Analysis re: midterm elections: "The proportion of people who said the economy was their top priority fell to its lowest level in more than eight years." SmartHER Reminder: Most polls were off in 2016. Let's see what 2018 brings.
Mirror Mirror On The Wall…
Primary elections expose battles within major political parties, as each seeks to be the fairest of the land.
Who’s The Most Progressive?
New York primary exposes divide in Democrat party.
- More progressive candidate unseats 10-term Congressman in blue district.
- Likely *new* congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 28-year-old socialist, with little funding or name recognition.
Who’s The *Best* Conservative?
Small Gov’t vs. Big Gov’t
- In focus: South Carolina primary race for Trey Gowdy’s seat.
- Candidate, state Sen. William Timmons, supported by current Congressional leadership, beat out a candidate supported by a low tax, small gov’t GOP group.
The Trump Effect
The President’s Political Capital
- In South Carolina, the President’s choice for Governor cruised to victory despite a close previous vote that led to a runoff.
- In New York, the President’s pick for congressional candidate defeated a well-known, though controversial, challenger.
Despite sparring with Pres. Trump, former Gov. & presidential candidate Mitt Romney won his election in Utah making it a likely scenario that he will become the state's next Senator. Read more on what these elections mean for 2020.