Groundhog Day: Phil Forecasts “An Early Spring”

February 2, 2024

Glad tidings on this Groundhog Day, an early spring is on the way!

Punxsutawney Groundhog Club Vice President Dan McGinley reading the scroll after Punxsutawney Phil did not see his shadow. The groundhog forecasts an early spring.

Why It Matters: Groundhog Day 2024 commenced on Friday morning in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania – a small town about 80 miles northeast of Pittsburgh. Phil did not see his shadow, indicating “an early spring is on the way!” Since the tradition began in the late 1880s, Groundhog Day reminds us that no matter how long and dark the season, spring will always come. 

  • How Does It Work? When Phil surfaces at first light, the presence of a shadow determines a prediction for an early spring or weeks more of winter. If he sees his shadow, then the next six weeks will bring winter weather. If he does not see his shadow, it indicates an early spring. 
  • Phil’s Record: He has gotten his weather prediction right about 30% of the time over the past decade, according to the National Centers for Environmental Information.

Read More: Punxsutawney Phil predicts an early spring at Groundhog Day festivities (The Associated Press)

Photo Credit: Punxsutawney Groundhog Club via Instagram

by Emily Hooker, based in Texas